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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 63.63%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 16.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Freiburg win it was 0-1 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
Result | ||
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Freiburg |
63.63% | 20.24% | 16.12% |
Both teams to score 53.33% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.12% | 41.88% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.72% | 64.28% |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.5% | 12.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.5% | 38.5% |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.95% | 39.05% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.23% | 75.77% |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Freiburg |
2-0 @ 10.55% 1-0 @ 10.15% 2-1 @ 9.92% 3-0 @ 7.32% 3-1 @ 6.88% 4-0 @ 3.8% 4-1 @ 3.58% 3-2 @ 3.24% 4-2 @ 1.68% 5-0 @ 1.58% 5-1 @ 1.49% Other @ 3.45% Total : 63.63% | 1-1 @ 9.55% 0-0 @ 4.88% 2-2 @ 4.67% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.24% | 0-1 @ 4.59% 1-2 @ 4.49% 0-2 @ 2.16% 2-3 @ 1.46% 1-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.02% Total : 16.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 19 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 33 | 23 | 10 | 39 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 52 | 16 | 36 | 37 |
3 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 19 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 37 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 39 | 24 | 15 | 36 |
5 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 40 | 26 | 14 | 35 |
6 | Freiburg | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 34 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 22 | 14 | 29 |
8 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 26 |
9 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 30 | 31 | -1 | 24 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 29 | 37 | -8 | 24 |
11 | FC Koln | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 23 |
12 | Mainz 05Mainz | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 23 |
13 | Augsburg | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 33 | -9 | 21 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 19 |
15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 19 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 24 | 46 | -22 | 19 |
16 | Stuttgart | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 16 |
17 | Hertha Berlin | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 14 |
18 | Schalke 04Schalke | 19 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 14 | 41 | -27 | 11 |
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