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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 46.14%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Freiburg | Draw | Werder Bremen |
46.14% | 24.24% | 29.62% |
Both teams to score 58.02% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.71% | 44.29% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.34% | 66.66% |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.66% | 19.34% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.89% | 51.12% |
Werder Bremen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.93% | 28.07% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.26% | 63.74% |
Score Analysis |
Freiburg | Draw | Werder Bremen |
2-1 @ 9.31% 1-0 @ 8.92% 2-0 @ 7.33% 3-1 @ 5.1% 3-0 @ 4.01% 3-2 @ 3.24% 4-1 @ 2.09% 4-0 @ 1.65% 4-2 @ 1.33% Other @ 3.15% Total : 46.14% | 1-1 @ 11.33% 2-2 @ 5.91% 0-0 @ 5.43% 3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.24% | 1-2 @ 7.2% 0-1 @ 6.9% 0-2 @ 4.38% 1-3 @ 3.05% 2-3 @ 2.5% 0-3 @ 1.86% 1-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.77% Total : 29.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 28 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 78 | 30 | 48 | 59 |
2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 28 | 18 | 3 | 7 | 62 | 39 | 23 | 57 |
3 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 43 | 31 | 12 | 52 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 53 | 35 | 18 | 51 |
5 | Freiburg | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 50 |
6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 51 | 41 | 10 | 44 |
7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 49 | 41 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Mainz 05Mainz | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 46 | 39 | 7 | 42 |
9 | Wolfsburg | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 46 | 36 | 10 | 40 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 36 |
11 | FC Koln | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 32 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 43 | 54 | -11 | 32 |
13 | Hoffenheim | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 29 |
14 | Augsburg | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 29 |
15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 28 | 8 | 3 | 17 | 31 | 61 | -30 | 27 |
16 | Stuttgart | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 50 | -15 | 24 |
17 | Schalke 04Schalke | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 24 |
18 | Hertha Berlin | 28 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 33 | 55 | -22 | 22 |
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