MX23RW : Friday, May 19 10:25:57| >> :120:44865:44865:
Freiburg logo
Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 6, 2022 at 8pm UK
Mage-Solar-Stadion
Nantes
Freiburg
2 - 0
Nantes
Kyereh (48'), Grifo (72')
Sildillia (66'), Gunter (78'), Keitel (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Mohamed (66')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Freiburg and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Freiburg 2-1 Mainz 05
Saturday, October 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Monaco 4-1 Nantes
Sunday, October 2 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

We said: Freiburg 2-1 Nantes

Even if they do make a few changes to their starting XI, we expect Freiburg to get the job done on Thursday. In stark contrast to their forthcoming opponents, Nantes have suffered a poor start to the season, even if we do expect them to keep things fairly tight during the match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 50.56%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 24.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
FreiburgDrawNantes
50.56% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 24.96% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 24.48% (0.02 0.02)
Both teams to score 51.43% (0.073 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.02% (0.086999999999996 0.09)50.97% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.15% (0.076999999999998 0.08)72.84% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.83% (0.031999999999996 0.03)20.17% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.54% (0.051000000000002 0.05)52.46% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.43% (0.066000000000003 0.07)35.57% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.66% (0.068000000000001 0.07)72.33% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 50.55%
    Nantes 24.48%
    Draw 24.96%
FreiburgDrawNantes
1-0 @ 11.48% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 9.19% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.07% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.91% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.62% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.03% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.96% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.05% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 50.55%
1-1 @ 11.87% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.17% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.9% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.96%
0-1 @ 7.42% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.14% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.83% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.12% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.69% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.32% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 24.48%

How you voted: Freiburg vs Nantes

Freiburg
85.3%
Draw
9.6%
Nantes
5.1%
136
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City35274492316185
2Arsenal36256583424181
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle361912567323569
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd35206951411066
5Liverpool36198970422865
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351771167491858
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs36176136559657
8Aston Villa36176134844457
9Brentford36131495445953
10Fulham36156155249351
11Chelsea351110143641-543
12Crystal Palace361110153746-943
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36117183052-2240
14Bournemouth36116193769-3239
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham36107193852-1437
16Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest36810183667-3134
17Everton36711183256-2432
18Leeds UnitedLeeds36710194671-2531
19Leicester CityLeicester3686224967-1830
RSouthampton3666243166-3524

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