Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 87.28%. A draw had a probability of 9% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 3.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.36%) and 4-0 (10.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.3%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 0-1 (1.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glentoran would win this match.