Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 45.88%. A win for had a probability of 28.16% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.3%). The likeliest win was 1-0 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%).
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Benfica | 
| 28.16% | 25.95% | 45.88% | 
| Both teams to score 51.5% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 47.61% | 52.39% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 25.93% | 74.07% | 
| Gil Vicente Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 66.7% | 33.3% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.08% | 69.92% | 
| Benfica Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 77.21% | 22.79% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.5% | 56.49% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Benfica | 
| 1-0 @ 8.35% 2-1 @ 6.79% 2-0 @ 4.59% 3-1 @ 2.49% 3-2 @ 1.84% 3-0 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.44% Total : 28.16% | 1-1 @ 12.34% 0-0 @ 7.59% 2-2 @ 5.02% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 11.22% 1-2 @ 9.13% 0-2 @ 8.3% 1-3 @ 4.5% 0-3 @ 4.09% 2-3 @ 2.47% 1-4 @ 1.66% 0-4 @ 1.51% 2-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.08% Total : 45.88% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 13 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 37 | 7 | 30 | 37 | 
| 2 | Porto | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 29 | 
| 3 | Braga | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 12 | 17 | 28 | 
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 25 | 
| 5 | Casa Pia | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 23 | 
| 6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 23 | 
| 7 | PortimonensePortimonense | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 19 | 
| 8 | ChavesChaves | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 19 | 
| 9 | AroucaArouca | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 19 | 
| 10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 18 | 
| 11 | BoavistaBoavista | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 17 | 
| 12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 16 | 
| 13 | Vizela | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 15 | 
| 14 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 11 | 
| 15 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 10 | 
| 16 | Gil Vicente | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 9 | 
| 17 | Maritimo | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 27 | -19 | 6 | 
| 18 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 13 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 26 | -19 | 2 | 
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