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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 49.3%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 27.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 2-1 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
Result | ||
FC Koln | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
27.3% | 23.4% | 49.3% |
Both teams to score 59.21% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.05% | 41.95% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.64% | 64.35% |
FC Koln Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.49% | 28.51% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.71% | 64.28% |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.82% | 17.18% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.56% | 47.43% |
Score Analysis |
FC Koln | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
2-1 @ 6.79% 1-0 @ 6.15% 2-0 @ 3.86% 3-1 @ 2.84% 3-2 @ 2.5% 3-0 @ 1.61% Other @ 3.54% Total : 27.3% | 1-1 @ 10.82% 2-2 @ 5.98% 0-0 @ 4.9% 3-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.39% | 1-2 @ 9.54% 0-1 @ 8.63% 0-2 @ 7.6% 1-3 @ 5.6% 0-3 @ 4.46% 2-3 @ 3.51% 1-4 @ 2.47% 0-4 @ 1.97% 2-4 @ 1.55% Other @ 3.99% Total : 49.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 62 |
2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 30 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 67 | 40 | 27 | 61 |
3 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 56 |
4 | Freiburg | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 56 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 54 | 37 | 17 | 54 |
6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | 54 | 43 | 11 | 48 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 54 | 37 | 17 | 46 |
8 | Mainz 05Mainz | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 45 |
9 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 50 | 46 | 4 | 43 |
10 | FC Koln | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 42 | 49 | -7 | 38 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 36 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 48 | 58 | -10 | 35 |
13 | Augsburg | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 55 | -16 | 31 |
14 | Schalke 04Schalke | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 31 | 59 | -28 | 30 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 29 |
16 | Stuttgart | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 28 |
17 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 30 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 28 |
18 | Hertha Berlin | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 35 | 61 | -26 | 22 |
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