

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 75.64%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for FC Koln had a probability of 9.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.36%) and 1-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.8%), while for a FC Koln win it was 2-1 (2.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Koln | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 9.6% | 14.75% | 75.64% |
| Both teams to score 53.26% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.96% | 32.04% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.38% | 53.62% |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.3% | 42.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 20.97% | 79.03% |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.95% | 7.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 74.24% | 25.76% |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Koln | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 2-1 @ 2.89% 1-0 @ 2.56% 2-0 @ 1.09% 3-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.97% Total : 9.6% | 1-1 @ 6.8% 2-2 @ 3.84% 0-0 @ 3.01% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.15% Total : 14.76% | 0-2 @ 10.59% 0-3 @ 9.36% 1-2 @ 9.01% 0-1 @ 7.99% 1-3 @ 7.97% 0-4 @ 6.21% 1-4 @ 5.28% 2-3 @ 3.39% 0-5 @ 3.29% 1-5 @ 2.8% 2-4 @ 2.25% 0-6 @ 1.46% 1-6 @ 1.24% 2-5 @ 1.19% Other @ 3.61% Total : 75.64% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 62 |
| 2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 30 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 67 | 40 | 27 | 61 |
| 3 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 56 |
| 4 | Freiburg | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 56 |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 54 | 37 | 17 | 54 |
| 6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | 54 | 43 | 11 | 48 |
| 7 | Wolfsburg | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 54 | 37 | 17 | 46 |
| 8 | Mainz 05Mainz | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 45 |
| 9 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 50 | 46 | 4 | 43 |
| 10 | FC Koln | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 42 | 49 | -7 | 38 |
| 11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 36 |
| 12 | Werder Bremen | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 48 | 58 | -10 | 35 |
| 13 | Augsburg | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 55 | -16 | 31 |
| 14 | Schalke 04Schalke | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 31 | 59 | -28 | 30 |
| 15 | Hoffenheim | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 29 |
| 16 | Stuttgart | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 28 |
| 17 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 30 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 28 |
| 18 | Hertha Berlin | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 35 | 61 | -26 | 22 |
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