Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 58.99%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for FC Koln had a probability of 19.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.94%) and 0-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a FC Koln win it was 2-1 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
