Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 8
Oct 17, 2024 at 11.30pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional
5 - 1
Miramar Misiones

Lopez (2'), Zabala (55'), Bentancourt (58'), Santander (75' pen.), Coates (79')
Bentancourt (45+3'), Sanabria (70')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lombardi (29')
Lombardi (39'), Rodriguez (43'), Olivera (68')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Miramar Misiones.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions
Last Game: Cerro Largo 0-1 Nacional
Sunday, October 13 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Miramar Misiones

All competitions
Last Game: Miramar Misiones 2-2 Racing
Sunday, October 13 at 5.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 55.98%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Miramar Misiones had a probability of 18.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.8%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Miramar Misiones win it was 0-1 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
NacionalDrawMiramar Misiones
55.98% (-0.559 -0.56)25.5% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)18.52% (0.561 0.56)
Both teams to score 42.39% (0.876 0.88)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.07% (0.669 0.67)58.92% (-0.672 -0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.58% (0.514 0.51)79.41% (-0.51600000000001 -0.52)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.87% (0.042000000000002 0.04)21.13% (-0.044 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.02% (0.067 0.07)53.97% (-0.071000000000005 -0.07)
Miramar Misiones Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.75% (1.082 1.08)46.25% (-1.085 -1.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.09% (0.822 0.82)81.91% (-0.82599999999999 -0.83)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 55.97%
    Miramar Misiones 18.52%
    Draw 25.5%
NacionalDrawMiramar Misiones
1-0 @ 15.19% (-0.36 -0.36)
2-0 @ 11.8% (-0.27 -0.27)
2-1 @ 9.11% (0.072000000000001 0.07)
3-0 @ 6.12% (-0.131 -0.13)
3-1 @ 4.72% (0.044 0.04)
4-0 @ 2.38% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.83% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.82% (0.071 0.07)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 55.97%
1-1 @ 11.71% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 9.77% (-0.248 -0.25)
2-2 @ 3.51% (0.133 0.13)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 25.5%
0-1 @ 7.54% (0.039 0.04)
1-2 @ 4.52% (0.165 0.17)
0-2 @ 2.91% (0.102 0.1)
1-3 @ 1.16% (0.076 0.08)
2-3 @ 0.9% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 18.52%

How you voted: Nacional vs Miramar Misiones

Nacional
80.0%
Draw
0.0%
Miramar Misiones
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Jul 20, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 6
Nacional
4-0
Miramar Misiones
Bentancourt (22' pen.), Galeano (47'), Castro (69'), Recoba (73')
Castro (30'), Sanabria (84'), Cabrera (85')

Cabrera (85')
Apr 17, 2024 12.30am
Gameweek 8
Miramar Misiones
1-2
Nacional
Machado (36')
Vazquez (51'), Polenta (88')
Carneiro (41'), Santander (85')
Mejia (76'), Polenta (87')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Group 1
1Defensor SportingDefensor22005326
2Montevideo WanderersWanderers22003126
3PenarolPenarol21103124
4LiverpoolLiverpool20201102
5Cerro Largo201134-11
6CerroCerro201112-11
7Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia201113-21
8River PlateRiver Plate200213-20
Group 2
1Racing de MontevideoRacing22003036
2DanubioDanubio22003036
3NacionalNacional22003126
4Juventud21015503
5Boston RiverBoston River210134-13
6Montevideo City TorqueTorque200235-20
7ProgresoProgreso200202-20
8Miramar Misiones200203-30
 
Apertura
1LiverpoolLiverpool159512291332
2NacionalNacional1594235161931
3Juventud159332315830
4PenarolPenarol158342117427
5Defensor SportingDefensor157351712524
6Racing de MontevideoRacing156541410423
7Boston RiverBoston River156451617-122
8Cerro Largo155641516-121
9Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia155461313019
10Montevideo City TorqueTorque154561622-617
11ProgresoProgreso153661727-1015
12CerroCerro153661320-714
13Montevideo WanderersWanderers152671217-512
14DanubioDanubio151951217-512
15Miramar Misiones153391624-812
16River PlateRiver Plate152491020-1010
> Uruguayan Primera Division Full Table


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