Torque
1 - 2
Progreso

Rak (56')
Brun (36'), Del Prete (50'), Rak (65'), Allende (76')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Gottesman (16'), Peraza (83')
Asconeguy (39'), Gottesman (43'), Sosa (64')

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Montevideo City Torque and Progreso.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Progreso win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 32.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Progreso win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Progreso would win this match.

Result
Montevideo City Torque	Draw	Progreso
32.99%	26.07%	40.94%

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
Group 1
1	Defensor Sporting Defensor	2	2	0	0	5	3	2	6
2	Montevideo Wanderers Wanderers	2	2	0	0	3	1	2	6
3	Penarol Penarol	2	1	1	0	3	1	2	4
4	Liverpool Liverpool	2	0	2	0	1	1	0	2
5	Cerro Largo	2	0	1	1	3	4	-1	1
6	Cerro Cerro	2	0	1	1	1	2	-1	1
7	Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia	2	0	1	1	1	3	-2	1
8	River Plate River Plate	2	0	0	2	1	3	-2	0
Group 2
1	Racing de Montevideo Racing	2	2	0	0	3	0	3	6
2	Danubio Danubio	2	2	0	0	3	0	3	6
3	Nacional Nacional	2	2	0	0	3	1	2	6
4	Juventud	2	1	0	1	5	5	0	3
5	Boston River Boston River	2	1	0	1	3	4	-1	3
6	Montevideo City Torque Torque	2	0	0	2	3	5	-2	0
7	Progreso Progreso	2	0	0	2	0	2	-2	0
8	Miramar Misiones	2	0	0	2	0	3	-3	0

Apertura
1	Liverpool Liverpool	15	9	5	1	22	9	13	32
2	Nacional Nacional	15	9	4	2	35	16	19	31
3	Juventud	15	9	3	3	23	15	8	30
4	Penarol Penarol	15	8	3	4	21	17	4	27
5	Defensor Sporting Defensor	15	7	3	5	17	12	5	24
6	Racing de Montevideo Racing	15	6	5	4	14	10	4	23
7	Boston River Boston River	15	6	4	5	16	17	-1	22
8	Cerro Largo	15	5	6	4	15	16	-1	21
9	Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia	15	5	4	6	13	13	0	19
10	Montevideo City Torque Torque	15	4	5	6	16	22	-6	17
11	Progreso Progreso	15	3	6	6	17	27	-10	15
12	Cerro Cerro	15	3	6	6	13	20	-7	14
13	Montevideo Wanderers Wanderers	15	2	6	7	12	17	-5	12
14	Danubio Danubio	15	1	9	5	12	17	-5	12
15	Miramar Misiones	15	3	3	9	16	24	-8	12
16	River Plate River Plate	15	2	4	9	10	20	-10	10
					> Uruguayan Primera Division Full Table

Montevideo City Torque	Draw	Progreso
1-0 @ 8.83% 2-1 @ 7.64% 2-0 @ 5.44% 3-1 @ 3.14% 3-0 @ 2.24% 3-2 @ 2.2% 4-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.53% Total : 32.99%	1-1 @ 12.39% 0-0 @ 7.17% 2-2 @ 5.36% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.07%	0-1 @ 10.05% 1-2 @ 8.7% 0-2 @ 7.06% 1-3 @ 4.07% 0-3 @ 3.3% 2-3 @ 2.51% 1-4 @ 1.43% 0-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.67% Total : 40.93%

Torque1 - 2Progreso

Data Analysis

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Torque
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Progreso