Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 45.25%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 30.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-2 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
Result | ||
Monaco | Draw | Strasbourg |
45.25% (![]() | 24.53% (![]() | 30.22% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.38% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.71% (![]() | 45.29% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.37% (![]() | 67.63% (![]() |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.88% (![]() | 20.12% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.62% (![]() | 52.38% (![]() |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.83% (![]() | 28.17% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.14% (![]() | 63.86% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Monaco | Draw | Strasbourg |
2-1 @ 9.23% (![]() 1-0 @ 9.09% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.29% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.93% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.9% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.13% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.98% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.56% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.25% ( ![]() Other @ 2.9% Total : 45.25% | 1-1 @ 11.51% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.85% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.67% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.32% ( ![]() Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.53% | 1-2 @ 7.29% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.18% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.55% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.08% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.47% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.92% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 2.75% Total : 30.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 29 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 82 | 27 | 55 | 77 |
2 | Marseille | 30 | 17 | 4 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 55 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 54 |
4 | Lyon | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 51 |
5 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lille | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 50 |
7 | Nice | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 54 | 37 | 17 | 48 |
8 | Brest | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 44 |
9 | Lens | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 42 |
10 | Rennes | 30 | 12 | 2 | 16 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 38 |
11 | Auxerre | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 40 | 42 | -2 | 38 |
12 | Toulouse | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 38 | 0 | 34 |
13 | NantesNantes | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 49 | -15 | 30 |
14 | Angers | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 28 | 46 | -18 | 30 |
15 | Reims | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 31 | 42 | -11 | 29 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 30 | 8 | 3 | 19 | 33 | 64 | -31 | 27 |
17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 31 | 67 | -36 | 24 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 30 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 22 | 71 | -49 | 15 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |