Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 44.46%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.58%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-0 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Strasbourg | Draw | Monaco |
| 30.18% | 25.37% | 44.46% |
| Both teams to score 54.56% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.04% | 48.96% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.95% | 71.05% |
| Strasbourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.94% | 30.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.81% | 66.18% |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78% | 22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.69% | 55.31% |
| Score Analysis |
| Strasbourg | Draw | Monaco |
| 1-0 @ 7.95% 2-1 @ 7.23% 2-0 @ 4.78% 3-1 @ 2.9% 3-2 @ 2.2% 3-0 @ 1.92% Other @ 3.21% Total : 30.18% | 1-1 @ 12.03% 0-0 @ 6.61% 2-2 @ 5.48% 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.36% | 0-1 @ 10.01% 1-2 @ 9.11% 0-2 @ 7.58% 1-3 @ 4.6% 0-3 @ 3.83% 2-3 @ 2.76% 1-4 @ 1.74% 0-4 @ 1.45% 2-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.33% Total : 44.46% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 28 | 21 | 3 | 4 | 68 | 28 | 40 | 66 |
| 2 | Lens | 29 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 48 | 21 | 27 | 60 |
| 3 | Marseille | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 60 |
| 4 | MonacoMonaco | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 57 | 37 | 20 | 54 |
| 5 | Rennes | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 47 | 30 | 17 | 50 |
| 6 | Lille | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 51 | 36 | 15 | 49 |
| 7 | Nice | 28 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 44 |
| 8 | Lorient | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 44 |
| 9 | Reims | 28 | 10 | 13 | 5 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 43 |
| 10 | Lyon | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 41 |
| 11 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 37 |
| 12 | Toulouse | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 35 |
| 13 | Clermont | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 34 |
| 14 | NantesNantes | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 30 |
| 15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 28 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 26 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 24 | 51 | -27 | 26 |
| 17 | Brest | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 30 | 46 | -16 | 24 |
| 18 | Troyes | 29 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 38 | 62 | -24 | 21 |
| 19 | Ajaccio | 28 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 20 | 50 | -30 | 21 |
| 20 | Angers | 28 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 21 | 63 | -42 | 10 |
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