Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 67.45%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Brest had a probability of 13.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.04%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a Brest win it was 0-1 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Monaco in this match.
| Result | ||
| Monaco | Draw | Brest | 
| 67.45% | 19.22% | 13.33% | 
| Both teams to score 49.6% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 56.8% | 43.19% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 34.4% | 65.59% | 
| Monaco Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 88.17% | 11.83% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 62.91% | 37.09% | 
| Brest Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 56.26% | 43.74% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 20.09% | 79.91% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Monaco | Draw | Brest | 
| 2-0 @ 11.78% 1-0 @ 11.04% 2-1 @ 9.75% 3-0 @ 8.39% 3-1 @ 6.94% 4-0 @ 4.48% 4-1 @ 3.7% 3-2 @ 2.87% 5-0 @ 1.91% 5-1 @ 1.58% 4-2 @ 1.53% Other @ 3.47% Total : 67.43% | 1-1 @ 9.13% 0-0 @ 5.18% 2-2 @ 4.03% Other @ 0.88% Total : 19.22% | 0-1 @ 4.28% 1-2 @ 3.78% 0-2 @ 1.77% 2-3 @ 1.11% 1-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.35% Total : 13.33% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 24 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 59 | 23 | 36 | 57 | 
| 2 | MonacoMonaco | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 53 | 31 | 22 | 50 | 
| 3 | Marseille | 23 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 45 | 20 | 25 | 49 | 
| 4 | Lens | 24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 49 | 
| 5 | Rennes | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 44 | 28 | 16 | 43 | 
| 6 | Lille | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 43 | 31 | 12 | 41 | 
| 7 | Lorient | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 39 | 
| 8 | Nice | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 30 | 21 | 9 | 38 | 
| 9 | Lyon | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 36 | 27 | 9 | 35 | 
| 10 | Reims | 24 | 7 | 13 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 34 | 
| 11 | Toulouse | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 32 | 
| 12 | Clermont | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 24 | 33 | -9 | 30 | 
| 13 | NantesNantes | 24 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 28 | 
| 14 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 24 | 8 | 2 | 14 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 26 | 
| 15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | 42 | -13 | 21 | 
| 16 | Brest | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 25 | 40 | -15 | 20 | 
| 17 | Troyes | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 19 | 
| 18 | Auxerre | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 21 | 48 | -27 | 18 | 
| 19 | Ajaccio | 24 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 18 | 45 | -27 | 18 | 
| 20 | Angers | 24 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 20 | 50 | -30 | 10 | 
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