Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 66.2%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Brest had a probability of 13.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.82%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Brest win it was 0-1 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lille | Draw | Brest |
| 66.2% | 20.53% | 13.27% |
| Both teams to score 45.29% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.1% | 48.9% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.01% | 70.99% |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.08% | 13.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 58.63% | 41.36% |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.62% | 47.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 17.23% | 82.77% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lille | Draw | Brest |
| 1-0 @ 13% 2-0 @ 12.82% 2-1 @ 9.58% 3-0 @ 8.43% 3-1 @ 6.3% 4-0 @ 4.16% 4-1 @ 3.1% 3-2 @ 2.35% 5-0 @ 1.64% 5-1 @ 1.22% 4-2 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.43% Total : 66.19% | 1-1 @ 9.71% 0-0 @ 6.59% 2-2 @ 3.58% Other @ 0.64% Total : 20.53% | 0-1 @ 4.93% 1-2 @ 3.63% 0-2 @ 1.84% 1-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.98% Total : 13.27% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 24 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 59 | 23 | 36 | 57 |
| 2 | Marseille | 24 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 48 | 22 | 26 | 52 |
| 3 | MonacoMonaco | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 53 | 31 | 22 | 50 |
| 4 | Lens | 24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 49 |
| 5 | Lille | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 44 |
| 6 | Rennes | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 44 | 28 | 16 | 43 |
| 7 | Lorient | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 39 |
| 8 | Nice | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 30 | 21 | 9 | 38 |
| 9 | Lyon | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 36 | 27 | 9 | 35 |
| 10 | Reims | 24 | 7 | 13 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 34 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 41 | 42 | -1 | 32 |
| 12 | Clermont | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 24 | 33 | -9 | 30 |
| 13 | NantesNantes | 24 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 28 |
| 14 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 24 | 8 | 2 | 14 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 26 |
| 15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | 42 | -13 | 21 |
| 16 | Brest | 25 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 26 | 42 | -16 | 20 |
| 17 | Troyes | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 19 |
| 18 | Auxerre | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 21 | 48 | -27 | 18 |
| 19 | Ajaccio | 24 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 18 | 45 | -27 | 18 |
| 20 | Angers | 24 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 20 | 50 | -30 | 10 |
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