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Championship | Gameweek 23
Dec 22, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Preston North End logo

Swansea
2 - 1
Preston

Paterson (60', 90+5')
Grimes (30'), Lowe (32'), Lowe (32'), Cabango (38'), Paterson (42')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Millar (67')
McCann (45+5'), Holmes (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Preston North End, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 1-2 Middlesbrough
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 1-5 Watford
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-1 Preston North End

This is a game between two sides that are increasingly eager to get three points on the board on a more regular basis. However, we expect a tense encounter, one which may may end in a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 47.33%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 27.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 0-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawPreston North End
47.33% (0.073 0.07) 25.62% (-0.038 -0.04) 27.05% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 51.72% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.28% (0.136 0.14)51.72% (-0.135 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.51% (0.116 0.12)73.5% (-0.116 -0.12)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.15% (0.088999999999999 0.09)21.86% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.91% (0.136 0.14)55.09% (-0.136 -0.14)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.18% (0.042999999999992 0.04)33.82% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.52% (0.047999999999998 0.05)70.49% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 47.33%
    Preston North End 27.05%
    Draw 25.62%
Swansea CityDrawPreston North End
1-0 @ 11.24% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.27% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.55%
3-1 @ 4.7% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.33% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.55% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.79% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.65% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.97% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 47.33%
1-1 @ 12.18% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.39% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.02% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.62%
0-1 @ 8.01% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.61% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 4.34% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.39% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 1.82% (0.006 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.57% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 27.05%

How you voted: Swansea vs Preston

Swansea City
37.0%
Draw
22.2%
Preston North End
40.7%
27
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Preston
2-1
Swansea
Hughes (67'), Holmes (79')
Ledson (11'), Browne (48')
Ashby (33')
N (48')
Apr 19, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 43
Swansea
4-2
Preston
Piroe (2', 90+4'), Allen (35'), Darling (44')
Cannon (48'), Parrott (71')
Nov 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Preston
1-0
Swansea
Potts (30')
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 28
Swansea
1-0
Preston
Manning (51')
Manning (13'), Latibeaudiere (87'), Smith (88')

Cunningham (65'), Evans (87'), Bauer (90+1')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 5
Preston
3-1
Swansea
Van den Berg (21'), Riis Jakobsen (45+1'), Whiteman (52')
Ledson (59'), Johnson (61'), Whiteman (71'), Sinclair (85')
Piroe (19')
Benda (51')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds352210372225076
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd35236650272373
3Burnley351914245103571
4Sunderland351811652322065
5Coventry CityCoventry35158124944553
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom351216745321352
7Bristol City35131394538752
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn35157134035552
9Middlesbrough35148135546950
10Watford35147144548-349
11Norwich CityNorwich351212115648848
12Millwall351112123436-245
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds35129144756-945
14Queens Park RangersQPR351111134145-444
15Preston North EndPreston35916103641-543
16Swansea CitySwansea35118163746-941
17Portsmouth35109164357-1439
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd35911153652-1638
19Hull City3599173544-936
20Stoke CityStoke35812153447-1336
21Cardiff CityCardiff35812153857-1936
22Luton TownLuton3587203255-2331
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth35612173670-3430
24Derby CountyDerby3578203348-1529


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