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St Louis City
Major League Soccer
May 11, 2025 at 1.30am UK
CityPark

St Louis City
1 - 2
San Diego

Hiebert (90+1')
Ostrak (59')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Iloski (79'), Dreyer (87')
Valakari (38'), Verhoeven (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's MLS Playoffs clash between St Louis City and San Diego, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Seattle 4-1 St Louis City
Sunday, May 4 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: San Diego 5-0 Dallas
Sunday, May 4 at 2.15am in Major League Soccer

We said: St Louis City 1-2 San Diego

Despite having home advantage, St Louis City are up against it to end their long winless streak in this contest. With the visitors getting back on track last time out, we feel that they may edge this encounter by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a St Louis City win with a probability of 49.15%. A win for San Diego has a probability of 26.66% and a draw has a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest San Diego win is 0-1 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.41%).

Result
St Louis CityDrawSan Diego
49.15% (3.612 3.61) 24.19% (-0.376 -0.38) 26.66% (-3.237 -3.24)
Both teams to score 55.95% (-1.117 -1.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.99% (-0.393 -0.39)46% (0.392 0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.69% (-0.373 -0.37)68.31% (0.372 0.37)
St Louis City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.21% (1.338 1.34)18.79% (-1.339 -1.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.8% (2.192 2.19)50.2% (-2.192 -2.19)
San Diego Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.89% (-2.553 -2.55)31.11% (2.553 2.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.57% (-3.086 -3.09)67.43% (3.084 3.08)
Score Analysis
    St Louis City 49.15%
    San Diego 26.66%
    Draw 24.19%
St Louis CityDrawSan Diego
1-0 @ 9.77% (0.558 0.56)
2-1 @ 9.54% (0.283 0.28)
2-0 @ 8.17% (0.783 0.78)
3-1 @ 5.32% (0.37 0.37)
3-0 @ 4.55% (0.607 0.61)
3-2 @ 3.1% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.22% (0.24 0.24)
4-0 @ 1.9% (0.321 0.32)
4-2 @ 1.3% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 49.15%
1-1 @ 11.41% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 5.84% (0.097 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.57% (-0.231 -0.23)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.19%
0-1 @ 6.82% (-0.379 -0.38)
1-2 @ 6.66% (-0.575 -0.58)
0-2 @ 3.99% (-0.529 -0.53)
1-3 @ 2.59% (-0.43 -0.43)
2-3 @ 2.17% (-0.255 -0.26)
0-3 @ 1.55% (-0.335 -0.34)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 26.66%

Head to Head
Mar 2, 2025 3.30am
San Diego
0-0
St Louis City
Negri (37'), Godoy (68'), McVey (90+1')
Lowen (39'), Becher (44'), Wallem (73'), Durkin (76'), Hiebert (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Columbus Crew127412012825
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati128131714325
3Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1272323121123
4Inter MiamiInter Miami116322115621
5Nashville SCNashville126242215720
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC126151914519
7Orlando City124622115618
8New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls125341913618
9New England RevolutionNew England115241210217
10New York City FCNY City125251314-117
11Chicago Fire124442023-316
12DC United123361325-1212
13Toronto122461016-610
14Atlanta UnitedAtlanta122461322-910
15CF MontrealMontreal12138616-106

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver118212281426
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd126421911822
3Seattle SoundersSeattle125432014619
4Portland TimbersPortland115332119218
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles115241716117
6San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes125162520516
7Colorado RapidsColorado124441517-216
8Dallas124441520-516
9Austin FCAustin12516815-716
10Real Salt LakeSalt Lake124171318-513
11St Louis City12246914-510
12Houston DynamoHouston122461119-810
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas102171621-57
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy11038827-193
15San Diego FC00000000


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