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Seattle Sounders
Major League Soccer
May 4, 2025 at 3.30am UK
CenturyLink Field
St Louis City

Seattle
4 - 1
St Louis City

Rusnak (33' pen.), Vargas (61'), Musovski (81'), Tolo (90+1')
Roldan (29'), Vargas (35'), Rothrock (43')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hartel (29' pen.)
Teuchert (41'), Hiebert (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's MLS Playoffs clash between Seattle Sounders and St Louis City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Colorado 1-1 Seattle
Sunday, April 27 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 2-2 St Louis City
Monday, April 28 at 12am in Major League Soccer

We said: Seattle Sounders 1-1 St Louis City

These two sides come into this fixture looking to build on their recent performances, but Sounders go into this contest with an edge, playing in front of their fans, but we reckon this match will end in a 1-1 draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 67.93%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 13.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 1-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.52%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (3.96%).

Result
Seattle SoundersDrawSt Louis City
67.93% (0.825 0.83) 18.27% (-0.262 -0.26) 13.8% (-0.566 -0.57)
Both teams to score 54.38% (-0.626 -0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.38% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)37.62% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.15% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)59.85% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Seattle Sounders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.86% (0.18799999999999 0.19)10.14% (-0.19 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.65% (0.42700000000001 0.43)33.34% (-0.431 -0.43)
St Louis City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.51% (-0.828 -0.83)39.48% (0.82400000000001 0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.82% (-0.778 -0.78)76.18% (0.77500000000001 0.78)
Score Analysis
    Seattle Sounders 67.92%
    St Louis City 13.8%
    Draw 18.27%
Seattle SoundersDrawSt Louis City
2-0 @ 10.48% (0.19 0.19)
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-0 @ 9.16% (0.098000000000001 0.1)
3-0 @ 8% (0.212 0.21)
3-1 @ 7.43% (0.033 0.03)
4-0 @ 4.58% (0.158 0.16)
4-1 @ 4.25% (0.053 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.45% (-0.063 -0.06)
5-0 @ 2.1% (0.088 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.98% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.95% (0.04 0.04)
5-2 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 67.92%
1-1 @ 8.52% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.53% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 4% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 18.27%
1-2 @ 3.96% (-0.137 -0.14)
0-1 @ 3.72% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-2 @ 1.73% (-0.075 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.4% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.23% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 13.8%

How you voted: Seattle vs St Louis City

Seattle Sounders
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
St Louis City
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Mar 16, 2025 12.30am
St Louis City
1-0
Seattle
Lowen (15')
Kessler (71'), Becher (81')

Ragen (14'), Ferreira (45+1'), Vargas (64'), Roldan (83')
Jul 18, 2024 3.30am
Seattle
2-0
St Louis City
Parker (27' og.), Bell (49')
Rothrock (90+2')

Durkin (4'), Totland (38')
May 26, 2024 1.30am
St Louis City
1-2
Seattle
Totland (82')
Vassilev (35'), Blom (39'), Durkin (48')
Hiebert (66' og.), Morris (69')
Kossa-Rienzi (80'), Gomez Andrade (85')
Oct 22, 2023 2am
St Louis City
0-2
Seattle

Parker (75')
Rusnak (23'), Parker (38' og.)
Gomez Andrade (18'), Roldan (32'), Ragen (71'), Chu (80'), Atencio (87'), Lodeiro (90+5')
Apr 9, 2023 3.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Columbus Crew117311810824
2Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1171321101122
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati117131513222
4Inter MiamiInter Miami106312011921
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC116141812619
6Nashville SCNashville115242014617
7Orlando City114521812617
8New York City FCNY City115241313017
9New England RevolutionNew England1051497216
10New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls114341213-115
11Chicago Fire113441822-413
12DC United113351323-1012
13Atlanta UnitedAtlanta112451220-810
14Toronto11146816-87
15CF MontrealMontreal11038516-113

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver118212281426
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd115421510519
3Portland TimbersPortland115332119218
4Los Angeles FCLos Angeles115241716117
5Seattle SoundersSeattle114431713416
6Colorado RapidsColorado114431516-116
7Austin FCAustin11515713-616
8Dallas114341419-515
9San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes114162420413
10Real Salt LakeSalt Lake114071217-512
11St Louis City11245812-410
12Houston DynamoHouston112451016-610
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas102171621-57
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy10037820-123
15San Diego FC00000000


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