Copa do Brasil | First Round
Feb 26, 2025 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal Dr. Plinio Marin
Votuporanguense2 - 2Aparecidense
da Silva Moyses (74'), Augusto Vasconcelos Alves (90+3')
Correa Costa (17'), Baldo Borech (37')
Correa Costa (17'), Baldo Borech (37')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Marcos Marques Carneiro (40'), Rodrigues Barbosa Leite (86')
de Freitas Rodrigues (42'), (51'), (51')
de Freitas Rodrigues (42'), (51'), (51')
Aparecidense win 5-4 on penalties
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil First Round clash between Votuporanguense and Aparecidense.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aparecidense win with a probability of 38.83%. A win for Votuporanguense had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aparecidense win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.73%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Votuporanguense win was 1-0 (11.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Votuporanguense | Draw | Aparecidense |
31.93% ( -0.01) | 29.24% ( -0.01) | 38.83% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 43.79% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
