Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 38.26%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 37.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.6%) and 0-2 (5.71%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Go Ahead Eagles would win this match.
