Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 42.83%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.57%) and 2-0 (5.72%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
