Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 47.55%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.7%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 2-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
