Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 72.75%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 11.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 3-0 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.94%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 1-2 (3.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
