Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 51.59%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 23.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (7.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 51.59% ( | 24.65% ( | 23.76% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.61% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.63% ( | 50.37% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.69% ( | 72.31% ( |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.48% ( | 19.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.6% ( | 51.4% ( |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.12% ( | 35.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.34% ( | 72.66% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 1-0 @ 11.44% ( 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 2-0 @ 9.35% ( 3-1 @ 5.22% ( 3-0 @ 5.09% ( 3-2 @ 2.68% ( 4-1 @ 2.13% ( 4-0 @ 2.08% ( 4-2 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 2.93% Total : 51.59% | 1-1 @ 11.72% ( 0-0 @ 7% ( 2-2 @ 4.91% ( 3-3 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.65% | 0-1 @ 7.18% ( 1-2 @ 6.01% ( 0-2 @ 3.68% ( 1-3 @ 2.05% ( 2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0-3 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 1.91% Total : 23.76% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 41 | 17 | 54 |
| 2 | Dundee | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 53 |
| 3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 31 | 14 | 7 | 10 | 56 | 40 | 16 | 49 |
| 4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | 54 | 40 | 14 | 48 |
| 5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 42 | 37 | 5 | 43 |
| 6 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 42 | 42 | 0 | 42 |
| 7 | Raith Rovers | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 41 |
| 8 | Arbroath | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 31 |
| 9 | Cove Rangers | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 34 | 70 | -36 | 26 |
| 10 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 25 | 54 | -29 | 25 |
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