Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Shandong Taishan had a probability of 36.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.73%) and 2-0 (5.53%). The likeliest Shandong Taishan win was 1-2 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.