Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 42.98%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Emmen win was 2-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
