Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 45.68%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 29.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
| 45.68% | 24.38% | 29.94% |
| Both teams to score 57.74% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.26% | 44.73% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.9% | 67.09% |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.29% | 19.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.28% | 51.72% |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.91% | 28.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.25% | 63.75% |
| Score Analysis |
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
| 2-1 @ 9.27% 1-0 @ 8.99% 2-0 @ 7.3% 3-1 @ 5.02% 3-0 @ 3.95% 3-2 @ 3.19% 4-1 @ 2.04% 4-0 @ 1.61% 4-2 @ 1.29% Other @ 3.03% Total : 45.69% | 1-1 @ 11.41% 2-2 @ 5.89% 0-0 @ 5.54% 3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.37% | 1-2 @ 7.25% 0-1 @ 7.03% 0-2 @ 4.46% 1-3 @ 3.07% 2-3 @ 2.49% 0-3 @ 1.89% 1-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.77% Total : 29.94% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 8 | 16 | 27 |
| 2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 17 | 10 | 22 |
| 3 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 20 |
| 4 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 20 |
| 5 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 19 |
| 6 | Macarthur | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 17 |
| 7 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 17 |
| 8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 16 |
| 9 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 15 |
| 10 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
| 11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 14 |
| 12 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 11 |
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