Home > Football > Bundesliga
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
15 | Stuttgart | 34 | -18 | 33 |
16 | Hertha Berlin | 34 | -34 | 33 |
17 | Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | -26 | 28 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 35 | 58 |
5 | Union Berlin | 34 | 6 | 57 |
6 | Freiburg | 34 | 12 | 55 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 42.64%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 1-0 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.
Result | ||
Hertha Berlin | Draw | Union Berlin |
32.4% | 24.96% | 42.64% |
Both teams to score 56.94% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.69% | 46.31% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.4% | 68.6% |
Hertha Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.74% | 27.26% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.31% | 62.69% |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.28% | 21.72% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.11% | 54.89% |
Score Analysis |
Hertha Berlin | Draw | Union Berlin |
1-0 @ 7.7% 2-1 @ 7.64% 2-0 @ 5% 3-1 @ 3.31% 3-2 @ 2.53% 3-0 @ 2.17% 4-1 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.99% Total : 32.4% | 1-1 @ 11.75% 0-0 @ 5.92% 2-2 @ 5.83% 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.96% | 0-1 @ 9.04% 1-2 @ 8.97% 0-2 @ 6.9% 1-3 @ 4.57% 0-3 @ 3.51% 2-3 @ 2.97% 1-4 @ 1.74% 0-4 @ 1.34% 2-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.46% Total : 42.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 52 | 16 | 36 | 37 |
2 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 31 | 22 | 9 | 36 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 39 | 24 | 15 | 35 |
4 | Freiburg | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 34 |
5 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 37 | 26 | 11 | 32 |
6 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 31 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 22 | 14 | 29 |
8 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 25 |
9 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 24 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 29 | 37 | -8 | 24 |
11 | Mainz 05Mainz | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 23 |
12 | FC Koln | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 21 |
13 | Hoffenheim | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 19 |
14 | Augsburg | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 18 |
15 | Stuttgart | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 16 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 18 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 19 | 44 | -25 | 16 |
17 | Hertha Berlin | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 14 |
18 | Schalke 04Schalke | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 41 | -27 | 9 |
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