Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 68.5%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 13.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.22%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 2-1 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hertha Berlin | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen | 
| 13.67% | 17.83% | 68.5% | 
| Both teams to score 55.69% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 64.24% | 35.76% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 42.16% | 57.83% | 
| Hertha Berlin Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 61.53% | 38.46% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.78% | 75.21% | 
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 90.5% | 9.5% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 68.14% | 31.86% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Hertha Berlin | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen | 
| 2-1 @ 3.93% 1-0 @ 3.49% 2-0 @ 1.67% 3-2 @ 1.47% 3-1 @ 1.25% Other @ 1.86% Total : 13.67% | 1-1 @ 8.22% 2-2 @ 4.62% 0-0 @ 3.65% 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.18% Total : 17.83% | 0-2 @ 10.12% 1-2 @ 9.67% 0-1 @ 8.6% 0-3 @ 7.95% 1-3 @ 7.59% 0-4 @ 4.68% 1-4 @ 4.47% 2-3 @ 3.63% 0-5 @ 2.2% 2-4 @ 2.13% 1-5 @ 2.1% 2-5 @ 1.01% Other @ 4.36% Total : 68.5% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 23 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 66 | 22 | 44 | 49 | 
| 2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 23 | 16 | 1 | 6 | 47 | 28 | 19 | 49 | 
| 3 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 44 | 
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 46 | 29 | 17 | 42 | 
| 5 | Freiburg | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 42 | 
| 6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 45 | 33 | 12 | 39 | 
| 7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 38 | 34 | 4 | 35 | 
| 8 | Wolfsburg | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 42 | 31 | 11 | 34 | 
| 9 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 40 | 37 | 3 | 31 | 
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 30 | 
| 11 | Werder Bremen | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 30 | 
| 12 | FC Koln | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 27 | 
| 13 | Augsburg | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 27 | 
| 14 | Hertha Berlin | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 20 | 
| 15 | Stuttgart | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 19 | 
| 16 | Hoffenheim | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 42 | -13 | 19 | 
| 17 | Schalke 04Schalke | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 42 | -24 | 19 | 
| 18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 23 | 6 | 1 | 16 | 24 | 56 | -32 | 19 | 
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