

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 42.25%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 28.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.62%) and 1-2 (7.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.26%), while for a Getafe win it was 1-0 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Getafe | Draw | Espanyol |
| 28.24% | 29.5% | 42.25% |
| Both teams to score 41.79% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.26% | 64.73% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.29% | 83.7% |
| Getafe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.03% | 39.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.37% | 76.62% |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.62% | 30.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.43% | 66.57% |
| Score Analysis |
| Getafe | Draw | Espanyol |
| 1-0 @ 11.13% 2-1 @ 6.08% 2-0 @ 5.11% 3-1 @ 1.86% 3-0 @ 1.56% 3-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.39% Total : 28.24% | 1-1 @ 13.26% 0-0 @ 12.14% 2-2 @ 3.62% Other @ 0.47% Total : 29.5% | 0-1 @ 14.46% 0-2 @ 8.62% 1-2 @ 7.9% 0-3 @ 3.42% 1-3 @ 3.14% 2-3 @ 1.44% 0-4 @ 1.02% 1-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.31% Total : 42.25% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barcelona | 32 | 25 | 4 | 3 | 59 | 11 | 48 | 79 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 32 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 69 | 30 | 39 | 68 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 55 | 25 | 30 | 66 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 41 | 29 | 12 | 58 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 46 | 33 | 13 | 53 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 49 |
| 7 | Athletic Bilbao | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 31 | 11 | 46 |
| 8 | Osasuna | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 44 |
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 43 |
| 10 | GironaGirona | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 41 |
| 11 | Sevilla | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 41 |
| 12 | Mallorca | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 40 |
| 13 | Celta Vigo | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 39 |
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 25 | 44 | -19 | 35 |
| 15 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 32 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 55 | -26 | 35 |
| 16 | Almeria | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 40 | 57 | -17 | 33 |
| 17 | Valencia | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 33 |
| 18 | Espanyol | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 38 | 53 | -15 | 31 |
| 19 | Getafe | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 29 | 42 | -13 | 31 |
| 20 | ElcheElche | 32 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 24 | 62 | -38 | 16 |
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