Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 44.82%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Elche had a probability of 26.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.26%) and 1-2 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%), while for a Elche win it was 1-0 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
