

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 43.55%. A draw had a probability of 31.5% and a win for Elche had a probability of 24.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.48%) and 2-1 (7.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.51%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Getafe | Draw | Elche |
| 43.55% | 31.5% | 24.95% |
| Both teams to score 35.55% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 28.64% | 71.35% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 11.91% | 88.09% |
| Getafe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.89% | 33.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.29% | 69.71% |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.15% | 46.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 17.62% | 82.37% |
| Score Analysis |
| Getafe | Draw | Elche |
| 1-0 @ 17.14% 2-0 @ 9.48% 2-1 @ 7.19% 3-0 @ 3.49% 3-1 @ 2.65% 3-2 @ 1% 4-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.63% Total : 43.54% | 0-0 @ 15.51% 1-1 @ 13% 2-2 @ 2.72% Other @ 0.27% Total : 31.5% | 0-1 @ 11.76% 1-2 @ 4.93% 0-2 @ 4.46% 1-3 @ 1.25% 0-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.43% Total : 24.95% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 35 | 27 | 4 | 4 | 65 | 15 | 50 | 85 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 70 | 32 | 38 | 71 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 60 | 27 | 33 | 69 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 19 | 8 | 8 | 47 | 32 | 15 | 65 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 35 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 54 | 36 | 18 | 60 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 43 | 38 | 5 | 55 |
| 7 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 46 | 39 | 7 | 50 |
| 8 | GironaGirona | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 48 |
| 9 | Osasuna | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 47 |
| 10 | Sevilla | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 44 | 49 | -5 | 47 |
| 11 | Rayo Vallecano | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 46 |
| 12 | Mallorca | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 44 |
| 13 | Almeria | 35 | 11 | 6 | 18 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 39 |
| 14 | Celta Vigo | 35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 50 | -10 | 39 |
| 15 | CadizCadiz | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 28 | 50 | -22 | 38 |
| 16 | Valencia | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 37 |
| 17 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 35 | 10 | 5 | 20 | 30 | 62 | -32 | 35 |
| 18 | Getafe | 35 | 8 | 11 | 16 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 35 |
| 19 | Espanyol | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 42 | 60 | -18 | 31 |
| R | ElcheElche | 35 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 27 | 65 | -38 | 20 |
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