Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 43.17%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 33.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.76%) and 0-2 (5.86%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 2-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Real Betis in this match.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal | Draw | Real Betis | 
| 33.73% (  -2.27) | 23.1% (  -0.66) | 43.17% (  2.93) | 
| Both teams to score 64.15% (  1.89) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 62.92% (  2.7) | 37.08% (  -2.7) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 40.72% (  2.86) | 59.27% (  -2.86) | 
| Villarreal Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 77.92% (  0.04) | 22.08% (  -0.04) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.57% (  0.06) | 55.43% (  -0.06) | 
| Real Betis Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 82.33% (  2.38) | 17.67% (  -2.39) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.7% (  3.98) | 48.29% (  -3.98) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Villarreal | Draw | Real Betis | 
| 2-1 @ 7.71% (  -0.4) 1-0 @ 5.89% (  -0.8) 2-0 @ 4.45% (  -0.6) 3-1 @ 3.88% (  -0.2) 3-2 @ 3.37% (  0.09) 3-0 @ 2.24% (  -0.3) 4-1 @ 1.47% (  -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.27% (  0.03) Other @ 3.44% Total : 33.73% | 1-1 @ 10.21% (  -0.54) 2-2 @ 6.69% (  0.17) 0-0 @ 3.9% (  -0.54) 3-3 @ 1.95% (  0.19) Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.1% | 1-2 @ 8.85% (  0.21) 0-1 @ 6.76% (  -0.37) 0-2 @ 5.86% (  0.13) 1-3 @ 5.12% (  0.49) 2-3 @ 3.86% (  0.37) 0-3 @ 3.39% (  0.32) 1-4 @ 2.22% (  0.36) 2-4 @ 1.67% (  0.27) 0-4 @ 1.47% (  0.24) Other @ 3.97% Total : 43.17% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 38 | 28 | 4 | 6 | 102 | 39 | 63 | 88 | 
| 2 | Real Madrid | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 78 | 38 | 40 | 84 | 
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 68 | 30 | 38 | 76 | 
| 4 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 70 | 
| 5 | Villarreal | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 70 | 
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 60 | 
| 7 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 59 | 57 | 2 | 55 | 
| 8 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 16 | 10 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 52 | 
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 52 | 
| 10 | Mallorca | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 48 | 
| 11 | Valencia | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 46 | 
| 12 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 46 | 
| 13 | Getafe | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 42 | 
| 14 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 42 | 
| 15 | Espanyol | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 42 | 
| 16 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 41 | 
| 17 | GironaGirona | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 44 | 60 | -16 | 41 | 
| 18 | Leganes | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 40 | 
| R | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 32 | 
| R | Real ValladolidValladolid | 38 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 90 | -64 | 16 | 
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