Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 61.61%. A win for St Gallen had a probability of 19.61% and a draw had a probability of 18.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.4%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest St Gallen win was 1-2 (5.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
