Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Zurich win with a probability of 46.89%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 27.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Zurich win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Lugano win was 0-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Zurich would win this match.
