Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melgar win with a probability of 46.22%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Olimpia had a probability of 26.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melgar win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.68%), while for a Olimpia win it was 0-1 (9.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.