Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 38.79%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 32.62% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.92%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (11.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
