Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 44.28%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 28.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Valencia | 
| 44.28% | 27.15% | 28.58% | 
| Both teams to score 48.21% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 43.25% | 56.75% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 22.3% | 77.7% | 
| Athletic Bilbao Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 74.51% | 25.49% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.67% | 60.33% | 
| Valencia Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 64.7% | 35.3% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.95% | 72.06% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Valencia | 
| 1-0 @ 12.29% 2-1 @ 8.75% 2-0 @ 8.41% 3-1 @ 3.99% 3-0 @ 3.83% 3-2 @ 2.08% 4-1 @ 1.36% 4-0 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.25% Total : 44.27% | 1-1 @ 12.8% 0-0 @ 9% 2-2 @ 4.56% Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.14% | 0-1 @ 9.37% 1-2 @ 6.67% 0-2 @ 4.88% 1-3 @ 2.32% 0-3 @ 1.69% 2-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.07% Total : 28.58% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Villarreal | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 
| 2 | Real Madrid | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 
| 3 | Real Betis | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 
| 4 | Osasuna | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 
| 5 | Barcelona | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 
| 6 | Rayo Vallecano | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 
| 7 | Athletic Bilbao | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 
| 8 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 
| 9 | Valencia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 
| 10 | Real Sociedad | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 | 
| 11 | Sevilla | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | 
| 12 | Mallorca | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1 | 
| 13 | Espanyol | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 1 | 
| 14 | Celta Vigo | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 1 | 
| 15 | Real Valladolid | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 1 | 
| 16 | Almeria | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 
| 17 | GironaGirona | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 
| 18 | CadizCadiz | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | 
| 19 | ElcheElche | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | 
| 20 | Getafe | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | 
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