Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 66.42%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 14.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 1-0 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 1-2 (4.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
Result | ||
Barcelona | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
66.42% | 18.7% | 14.89% |
Both teams to score 55.81% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.82% | 37.18% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.61% | 59.39% |
Barcelona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.61% | 10.39% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.08% | 33.92% |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.28% | 37.72% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.51% | 74.49% |
Score Analysis |
Barcelona | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
2-0 @ 10.04% 2-1 @ 9.8% 1-0 @ 8.88% 3-0 @ 7.58% 3-1 @ 7.39% 4-0 @ 4.29% 4-1 @ 4.19% 3-2 @ 3.61% 4-2 @ 2.04% 5-0 @ 1.94% 5-1 @ 1.9% 5-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.83% Total : 66.41% | 1-1 @ 8.65% 2-2 @ 4.78% 0-0 @ 3.92% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.18% Total : 18.7% | 1-2 @ 4.22% 0-1 @ 3.82% 0-2 @ 1.86% 2-3 @ 1.55% 1-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.06% Total : 14.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 31 |
2 | Barcelona | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 4 | 24 | 28 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 23 |
4 | Real Sociedad | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 22 |
5 | Real BetisBetis | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 20 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 18 |
7 | Villarreal | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 18 |
8 | Osasuna | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 17 |
9 | Valencia | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 15 |
10 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 15 |
11 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 14 |
12 | Mallorca | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 12 |
13 | Espanyol | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
14 | Almeria | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 10 |
15 | Sevilla | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 10 |
16 | Celta Vigo | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 10 |
17 | GironaGirona | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 9 |
18 | Getafe | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 9 |
19 | CadizCadiz | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 22 | -17 | 7 |
20 | ElcheElche | 11 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 4 |
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