Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 47.79%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 22.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.4%) and 1-2 (7.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.28%), while for a Mallorca win it was 1-0 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mallorca | Draw | Sevilla | 
| 22.77% | 29.44% | 47.79% | 
| Both teams to score 38.23% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 32.83% | 67.17% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 14.62% | 85.38% | 
| Mallorca Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 53.55% | 46.46% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 17.93% | 82.07% | 
| Sevilla Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 71.4% | 28.6% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.6% | 64.4% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Mallorca | Draw | Sevilla | 
| 1-0 @ 10.18% 2-1 @ 4.89% 2-0 @ 3.91% 3-1 @ 1.25% 3-0 @ 1% Other @ 1.54% Total : 22.76% | 0-0 @ 13.28% 1-1 @ 12.75% 2-2 @ 3.06% Other @ 0.35% Total : 29.44% | 0-1 @ 16.63% 0-2 @ 10.4% 1-2 @ 7.98% 0-3 @ 4.34% 1-3 @ 3.33% 0-4 @ 1.36% 2-3 @ 1.28% 1-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.42% Total : 47.78% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barcelona | 20 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 42 | 7 | 35 | 53 | 
| 2 | Real Madrid | 20 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 40 | 17 | 23 | 45 | 
| 3 | Real Sociedad | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 39 | 
| 4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 35 | 
| 5 | Real BetisBetis | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 22 | 5 | 34 | 
| 6 | Athletic Bilbao | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 31 | 22 | 9 | 32 | 
| 7 | Rayo Vallecano | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 27 | 22 | 5 | 32 | 
| 8 | Villarreal | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 31 | 
| 9 | Osasuna | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 29 | 
| 10 | Mallorca | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 28 | 
| 11 | GironaGirona | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 24 | 
| 12 | Sevilla | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 24 | 
| 13 | Celta Vigo | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 23 | 
| 14 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 20 | 7 | 2 | 11 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 23 | 
| 15 | Almeria | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 22 | 
| 16 | CadizCadiz | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 33 | -16 | 22 | 
| 17 | Espanyol | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 21 | 
| 18 | Valencia | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 20 | 
| 19 | Getafe | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 18 | 
| 20 | ElcheElche | 20 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 40 | -25 | 9 | 
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