Chelmsford City 3-2 Farnborough Town - National League South - April 7, 2023 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 38.41%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 1-0 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
Chelmsford City	Draw	Farnborough Town
35.61% ( -0.04)	25.97% ( 0.01)	38.41% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 54.26% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.88% (

-0.02)

50.11% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.91% (

-0.02)

72.08% (

0.02)

Chelmsford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.86% (

-0.04)

27.13% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.47% (

-0.05)

62.52% (

0.05)

Farnborough Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.46% (

0.01)

25.54% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.6% (

0.01)

60.39% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Chelmsford City 35.61%

Farnborough Town 38.41%

Draw 25.97%

Chelmsford City	Draw	Farnborough Town
1-0 @ 9.04% 2-1 @ 8.05% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.56% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 3.04% Total : 35.61%	1-1 @ 12.33% 0-0 @ 6.93% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.97%	0-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.42% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.46% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.83% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.94% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 2.5% Total : 38.41%