Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Eindhoven win with a probability of 66.1%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 13.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.11%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 0-1 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Eindhoven would win this match.
