Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MVV Maastricht win with a probability of 41.69%. A win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 33.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.68%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest FC Eindhoven win was 1-2 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MVV Maastricht would win this match.
