Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 71.74%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 9.27%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.31%) and 3-0 (10.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.62%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.