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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 70.29%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 12.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 3-0 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.76%), while for a Greuther Furth win it was 1-2 (3.69%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
Result | ||
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Greuther Furth |
70.29% | 16.98% | 12.73% |
Both teams to score 56.09% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.07% | 33.92% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.21% | 55.78% |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.38% | 8.62% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.25% | 29.74% |
Greuther Furth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.38% | 38.62% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.64% | 75.36% |
Score Analysis |
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Greuther Furth |
2-0 @ 10% 2-1 @ 9.52% 3-0 @ 8.17% 1-0 @ 8.16% 3-1 @ 7.78% 4-0 @ 5.01% 4-1 @ 4.77% 3-2 @ 3.7% 5-0 @ 2.46% 5-1 @ 2.34% 4-2 @ 2.27% 5-2 @ 1.11% 6-0 @ 1% 6-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.06% Total : 70.29% | 1-1 @ 7.76% 2-2 @ 4.53% 0-0 @ 3.33% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.19% Total : 16.98% | 1-2 @ 3.69% 0-1 @ 3.17% 0-2 @ 1.51% 2-3 @ 1.44% 1-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.76% Total : 12.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 97 | 37 | 60 | 77 |
2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 22 | 3 | 9 | 85 | 52 | 33 | 69 |
3 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 80 | 47 | 33 | 64 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 72 | 37 | 35 | 58 |
5 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 50 | 44 | 6 | 57 |
6 | Freiburg | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 55 |
7 | FC Koln | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 52 |
8 | Mainz 05 | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 50 | 45 | 5 | 46 |
9 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 58 | 60 | -2 | 46 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 45 |
11 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 45 | 49 | -4 | 42 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 43 | 54 | -11 | 42 |
13 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 42 |
14 | Augsburg | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 38 |
15 | Stuttgart | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 41 | 59 | -18 | 33 |
16 | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 33 |
R | Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | 5 | 13 | 16 | 27 | 53 | -26 | 28 |
R | Greuther Furth | 34 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 28 | 82 | -54 | 18 |
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