

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 55.31%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 23.2% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.84%) and 1-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-2 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Monchengladbach would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Stuttgart |
| 55.31% ( | 21.5% ( | 23.2% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.55% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.09% ( | 36.91% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.91% ( | 59.09% ( |
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.64% ( | 13.36% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.75% ( | 40.25% ( |
| Stuttgart Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.04% ( | 28.96% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.15% ( | 64.85% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Stuttgart |
| 2-1 @ 9.71% ( 2-0 @ 7.84% ( 1-0 @ 7.79% ( 3-1 @ 6.52% ( 3-0 @ 5.26% ( 3-2 @ 4.04% ( 4-1 @ 3.28% ( 4-0 @ 2.65% ( 4-2 @ 2.03% ( 5-1 @ 1.32% ( 5-0 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 3.8% Total : 55.31% | 1-1 @ 9.65% ( 2-2 @ 6.02% ( 0-0 @ 3.87% 3-3 @ 1.67% ( Other @ 0.29% Total : 21.5% | 1-2 @ 5.98% ( 0-1 @ 4.79% ( 0-2 @ 2.97% ( 2-3 @ 2.49% ( 1-3 @ 2.47% ( 0-3 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 3.27% Total : 23.2% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 92 | 38 | 54 | 71 |
| 2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 83 | 44 | 39 | 71 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 64 | 41 | 23 | 66 |
| 4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 62 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 44 | 7 | 59 |
| 6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 50 |
| 7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 50 |
| 8 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 49 |
| 9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 46 |
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 43 |
| 11 | FC Koln | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 42 |
| 12 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 36 |
| 13 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 36 |
| 14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 35 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 34 |
| 16 | Stuttgart | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 33 |
| R | Schalke 04Schalke | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 31 |
| R | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 42 | 69 | -27 | 29 |
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