Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 39.78%. A win for Basel had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Basel win was 1-2 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.