Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that VfL Bochum would win this match.