Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 42.37%. A win for Macarthur has a probability of 35.04% and a draw has a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.01%) and 2-0 (5.36%). The likeliest Macarthur win is 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.65%).
| Result | ||
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Macarthur |
| 42.37% ( | 22.59% ( | 35.04% ( |
| Both teams to score 66.53% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.86% ( | 34.14% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.98% ( | 56.02% ( |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.2% ( | 16.8% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.23% ( | 46.76% ( |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.96% ( | 20.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.75% ( | 52.25% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Macarthur |
| 2-1 @ 8.61% ( 1-0 @ 6.01% ( 2-0 @ 5.36% ( 3-1 @ 5.12% ( 3-2 @ 4.12% ( 3-0 @ 3.19% ( 4-1 @ 2.28% ( 4-2 @ 1.84% ( 4-0 @ 1.42% ( 4-3 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 3.46% Total : 42.37% | 1-1 @ 9.65% ( 2-2 @ 6.92% ( 0-0 @ 3.37% ( 3-3 @ 2.21% ( Other @ 0.44% Total : 22.59% | 1-2 @ 7.76% ( 0-1 @ 5.41% ( 0-2 @ 4.35% ( 1-3 @ 4.16% ( 2-3 @ 3.71% ( 0-3 @ 2.33% ( 1-4 @ 1.67% ( 2-4 @ 1.49% ( 0-4 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 3.23% Total : 35.04% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 24 |
| 2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 24 |
| 3 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 21 |
| 4 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 18 |
| 5 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 18 |
| 6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Macarthur | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 18 |
| 8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 17 |
| 9 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 15 |
| 10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 8 |
| 12 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 28 | -17 | 7 |
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