

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 42.96%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 36% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.32%) and 3-2 (4.9%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Adelaide United | 
| 42.96% (  -0.12) | 21.04% (  -0) | 36% (  0.11) | 
| Both teams to score 72.96% (  0.04) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 74.06% (  0.04) | 25.93% (  -0.05) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 53.87% (  0.06) | 46.13% (  -0.07) | 
| Brisbane Roar Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 86.72% (  -0.02) | 13.28% (  0.02) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.9% (  -0.04) | 40.1% (  0.03) | 
| Adelaide United Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 84.14% (  0.07) | 15.86% (  -0.07) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.93% (  0.13) | 45.07% (  -0.14) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Adelaide United | 
| 2-1 @ 7.9% (  -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.32% (  -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.9% (  -0) 2-0 @ 4.29% (  -0.02) 1-0 @ 4.25% (  -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.89% (  -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.69% (  -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.47% (  -0) 4-3 @ 1.52% (  0) 4-0 @ 1.46% (  -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.08% (  -0) 5-2 @ 1% (  -0) Other @ 3.19% Total : 42.96% | 1-1 @ 7.83% (  -0.01) 2-2 @ 7.28% (  0) 3-3 @ 3.01% (  0.01) 0-0 @ 2.11% (  -0.01) Other @ 0.81% Total : 21.04% | 1-2 @ 7.21% (  0.01) 2-3 @ 4.47% (  0.01) 1-3 @ 4.43% (  0.02) 0-1 @ 3.88% (  -0) 0-2 @ 3.57% (  0.01) 0-3 @ 2.19% (  0.01) 2-4 @ 2.06% (  0.01) 1-4 @ 2.04% (  0.01) 3-4 @ 1.38% (  0.01) 0-4 @ 1.01% (  0.01) Other @ 3.78% Total : 36% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Auckland FC | 24 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 46 | 23 | 23 | 50 | 
| 2 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 36 | 24 | 12 | 44 | 
| 3 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 41 | 
| 4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 54 | 39 | 15 | 40 | 
| 5 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 41 | 34 | 7 | 39 | 
| 6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 37 | 
| 7 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 37 | 
| 8 | Macarthur | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 48 | 40 | 8 | 33 | 
| 9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 42 | 42 | 0 | 29 | 
| 10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 25 | 5 | 11 | 9 | 28 | 49 | -21 | 26 | 
| 11 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 24 | 
| 12 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 24 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 15 | 
| 13 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 20 | 55 | -35 | 14 | 
| > Australian A-League Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
