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National League South | Gameweek 38
Mar 10, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Vauxhall Ground

Hemel Hemps.
3 - 1
Hornchurch

Ogungbo (8'), Barzey (21'), Lynch (54')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Hearn (61')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Hemel Hempstead Town and AFC Hornchurch.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hampton 1-2 Hemel Hemps.
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hornchurch 0-0 Maidstone
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Hornchurch win with a probability of 42.06%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Hornchurch win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
Hemel Hempstead TownDrawAFC Hornchurch
32.3% (0.016000000000005 0.02) 25.63%42.06% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.62% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.69% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)49.3% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.64% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)71.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.2% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)28.79% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.35% (0.012 0.01)64.64% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)
AFC Hornchurch Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.71% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)23.29% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.78% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)57.22% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Hemel Hempstead Town 32.3%
    AFC Hornchurch 42.06%
    Draw 25.63%
Hemel Hempstead TownDrawAFC Hornchurch
1-0 @ 8.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 7.57% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 5.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.14% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.29%
3-0 @ 2.16% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 32.3%
1-1 @ 12.16%
0-0 @ 6.71% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.52%
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.63%
0-1 @ 9.77% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-2 @ 8.86% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 7.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 4.31% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 3.46% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.68%
1-4 @ 1.57% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.26% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 42.06%

Head to Head
Nov 5, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Hornchurch
1-0
Hemel Hemps.
Nash (14')
Greenidge (40'), Phillips (43'), Terry (83')

German (52'), Howe (79')
Howe (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Truro CityTruro City432411868392983
2Worthing432581071551683
3Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne432312865422381
4Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd432214765412480
5Dorking WanderersDorking432213882513179
6Boreham WoodBoreham Wood432381275443177
7Maidstone UnitedMaidstone432014963352874
8Weston-super-MareWeston4320121164481672
9Farnborough TownFarnborough43178185962-359
10Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels431611165053-359
11Chesham UnitedChesham431611165965-659
12Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hemps.431611166170-959
13Chelmsford CityChelmsford City431414156359456
14AFC HornchurchHornchurch431414155254-256
15Bath City431411184345-253
16Chippenham TownChippenham43158205465-1153
17Slough TownSlough431312186469-551
18Hampton & RichmondHampton43149205661-551
19Enfield Town43138224678-3247
20Salisbury431014195365-1244
21St Albans CitySt Albans City43817184358-1541
22Welling UnitedWelling United43107264581-3637
23Weymouth43614234066-2632
24Aveley4377294277-3528


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